FK Tukums 2000 vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
53
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
FKT
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 7
RIG
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 3
FKT
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
2 - 2
FKT
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 3
FKT
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
AUD
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
SUP
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 1
VAL
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
VAL
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |