FK Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
8º
21
6º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FSM
3 - 2
FKT
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKT
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 1
FKT
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ZAL
5 - 0
FKT
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 0
SUP
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
SUP
4 - 0
FSM
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
TRA
34%
23%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
DTE
0 - 0
SUP
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |