FK Tukums 2000 vs SK Super Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
14
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
FKT
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 0
VAL
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FSM
3 - 2
FKT
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 7
RIG
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 3
FKT
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
FSM
4 - 1
SUP
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 2
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 4
BFC
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 1
SUP
81%
14%
5%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
SUP
0 - 2
AUD
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |