FK Tukums 2000 vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
7º
58
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 82 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 79 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 41% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 59% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 0
FKT
47%
22%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKT
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
FSM
43%
24%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
LIE
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 0
FSM
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 1
RIG
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
RIG
5 - 1
BFC
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 2
RIG
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
AUD
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |