FK Tukums 2000 vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
89
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
31%
24%
46%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 3
RIG
19%
20%
62%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
SUP
79%
14%
8%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
AUD
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 1
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
13%
22%
65%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 3
RIG
19%
20%
62%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |