FK Tukums 2000 vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
10º
9º
29
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 74 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 45 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 40 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 39 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 35 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 59% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 2
FKT
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 1
FKJ
46%
25%
30%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 4
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 5
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FSM
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 3
LIE
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
LIE
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
AUD
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |