FK Tukums 2000 vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RIG
7 - 0
FKT
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 6
CAR
19%
25%
57%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 3
FKT
11%
13%
75%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 1
FSM
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
AUD
1 - 1
LIE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
LIE
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FKJ
3 - 2
LIE
12%
22%
66%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FSM
2 - 2
LIE
16%
20%
63%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
RIG
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |