FK Tukums 2000 vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
51
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
1 - 0
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
0 - 2
CAR
16%
24%
61%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 3
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
FSM
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 0
FKT
21%
21%
58%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
3 - 2
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
2 - 2
LIE
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |