FK Tukums 2000 vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
7º
27
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 82 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 79 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 4
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 5
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 0
FKT
47%
22%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FKT
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FSM
43%
25%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
LIE
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 0
FKJ
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FKJ
3 - 1
AUD
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +2 |