FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
56.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 3
FKT
11%
13%
75%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 1
FSM
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 5
FKT
17%
19%
64%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 0
CAR
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PPK
0 - 5
CAR
4%
10%
87%
|
79 | 21 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
VIK
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
AUD
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
LIE
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |