FK Tukums 2000 vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
10º
8º
88
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 3
FKT
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 2
FSM
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 0
FKT
21%
21%
58%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
BFC
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 1
FKT
22%
21%
58%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
AUD
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
RIG
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEV
45%
24%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |