FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
8º
30
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
FKT
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
0 - 3
CAR
26%
24%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 0
FKT
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
GRO
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 0
FSM
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
4 - 2
LIE
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 1
SUP
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
4 - 1
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
2 - 1
AUD
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |