FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
8º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
FKT
28%
24%
48%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
LIE
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
6 - 1
FKT
63%
22%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 4
AUD
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
BFC
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 6
VAL
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
AUD
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |