FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs Smiltene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.9%
16.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
13º
12º
17
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 14 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TUK
4 - 1
VAL
24%
22%
54%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KFV
0 - 1
TUK
26%
21%
53%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
RFA
2 - 1
TUK
27%
20%
53%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
6 - 0
TUK
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
TUK
0 - 2
FSL
78%
13%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Smiltene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
RIG
25%
22%
54%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 2
SMI
37%
21%
43%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
ALB
13%
20%
67%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SMI
0 - 3
SKA
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIG
5 - 1
SMI
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |