FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs Leevon PPK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
12º
12º
17
7º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 92.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUK
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 1
RFA
68%
16%
16%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 2
RIG
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 2
TUK
28%
20%
52%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALB
4 - 1
TUK
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Leevon PPK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FSL
0 - 1
OUD
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 0
FSL
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 0
FSL
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KFV
4 - 1
FSL
49%
22%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 2
TUK
28%
20%
52%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |