FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II vs Augšdaugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+96%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
12º
12º
6
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
38% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
26% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
36% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
RFA
1 - 1
TUK
30%
20%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
4 - 1
TUK
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
TUK
1 - 3
KFV
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 1
TUK
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TUK
2 - 1
FSL
69%
17%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Augšdaugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 3
OUD
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KFV
2 - 0
AUG
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FSL
1 - 1
AUG
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
AUG
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SKA
2 - 0
AUG
74%
16%
10%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | 0 |