Transinvest Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
1º
14
5º
15º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 58 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
89% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 40% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 45.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Transinvest Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
BFA
1 - 2
FKT
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
FKE
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FKS
0 - 5
FKT
3%
7%
90%
|
71 | 11 | 60 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ATM
1 - 2
FKT
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
FKT
3 - 1
NEV
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 3
ZAL
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
FKK
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FKK
5 - 2
SIA
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
PAN
4 - 2
FKK
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FKK
2 - 0
FHL
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |