Tobol Tobolsk vs Zvezda Perm II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Tobolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FMA
6 - 0
TOB
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
TOB
0 - 3
TOB
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
APK
0 - 3
TOB
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
TOB
0 - 2
FCC
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
IRT
6 - 0
TOB
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zvezda Perm II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SZP
2 - 0
FKT
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FKZ
2 - 1
SZP
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SZP
4 - 2
FPP
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MMM
1 - 2
SZP
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FMA
4 - 2
SZP
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |