Tobol Tobolsk vs Metallurg Asha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
66.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Tobolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
UNT
3 - 3
TOB
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
TOB
1 - 2
FPP
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TOB
2 - 2
IRT
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 0
TOB
39%
22%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
TOB
4 - 3
MMM
10%
15%
75%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +3 |
Matches
Metallurg Asha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 0
FCC
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
MMM
3 - 1
FMA
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
FMA
8 - 0
TOB
86%
9%
4%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
MSU
0 - 12
FMA
5%
11%
84%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FMA
2 - 0
FII
52%
21%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |