Tobol Tobolsk vs Ilpar Ilyinsky analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
70.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Tobolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SKO
1 - 2
TOB
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
TOB
1 - 3
MIA
10%
15%
74%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
TOB
0 - 7
MMM
15%
18%
68%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
FKT
1 - 1
TOB
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ilpar Ilyinsky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FII
2 - 0
FKT
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
FKZ
3 - 4
FII
25%
21%
55%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
FII
3 - 2
FPP
82%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |