Tobol Tobolsk vs Chelyabinsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Tobolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MMM
4 - 2
TOB
82%
12%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
6 - 0
TOB
80%
12%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
5 - 2
MSU
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
2 - 2
FII
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TOB
3 - 1
FST
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Chelyabinsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
IRT
3 - 2
FCC
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 2
MMM
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
TOB
0 - 3
FCC
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 3
MSU
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FII
4 - 0
FCC
84%
10%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |