Temp Barnaul vs R. Mezhdurechensk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
5º
44
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Temp Barnaul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FTB
2 - 5
MET
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 3
FTB
12%
17%
71%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FRK
1 - 0
FTB
27%
21%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FPB
2 - 0
FTB
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 6
FTB
9%
15%
77%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
R. Mezhdurechensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SDB
1 - 4
FRM
10%
17%
73%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FRM
3 - 0
FPB
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FRM
3 - 0
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKI
0 - 2
FRM
16%
19%
65%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FKB
0 - 4
FRM
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | +1 |