Temp Barnaul vs FK Irkutsk II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+535%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
5º
29
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 20 |
10º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
94.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Temp Barnaul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FTB
1 - 3
FKN
76%
14%
11%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FTB
2 - 1
FRM
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
FTB
2 - 5
MET
17%
22%
61%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
1 - 3
FTB
12%
17%
71%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FRK
1 - 0
FTB
27%
21%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FK Irkutsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FKI
0 - 3
BUU
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FKI
0 - 1
FCC
27%
22%
52%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
FKI
0 - 2
FRM
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FKI
0 - 2
MET
11%
19%
70%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
FKB
2 - 1
FKI
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |