FK Tauras Taurage vs Žalgiris II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
3º
31
4º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
84.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tauras Taurage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FKT
4 - 0
SIA
74%
16%
11%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
PAN
0 - 2
FKT
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
FHL
1 - 0
FKT
22%
22%
55%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 1
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
BFA
2 - 2
FKT
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Žalgiris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
BAB
2 - 1
ZAL
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 3
FKT
19%
22%
60%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZAL
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
MIN
1 - 4
ZAL
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |