FK Tauras Taurage vs Panevėžys II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
4º
3º
16
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 75 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 68 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 60 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 34 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 32 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 29 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 71% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tauras Taurage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 2
GRO
27%
21%
52%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 0
BAB
28%
22%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BEN
0 - 1
FKT
60%
21%
20%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FAS
1 - 1
FKT
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 3
DTE
26%
23%
51%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Panevėžys II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 1
PAN
41%
25%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 1
GKA
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FKE
4 - 0
PAN
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
BFA
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
SIA
0 - 1
PAN
42%
22%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |