Sumqayıt II vs Neftçi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
65.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
14º
13º
59
1º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumqayıt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 2
FKS
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKS
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ENE
1 - 1
FKS
60%
21%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
MOI
1 - 3
FKS
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 0
FKS
77%
15%
7%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 1
FCK
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
FFK
0 - 3
NEF
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NEF
7 - 1
FKM
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 1
NEF
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
NEF
2 - 0
ZAQ
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |