Šternberk vs Bzenec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
4º
3º
30
10º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
68% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 24 |
13º
|
68% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Šternberk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 1
STE
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STE
2 - 0
SLA
27%
21%
53%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NSO
2 - 5
STE
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STE
0 - 0
BAT
24%
20%
55%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TJT
1 - 2
STE
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bzenec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BZE
0 - 0
VSE
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
KOZ
4 - 0
BZE
78%
14%
9%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
BZE
1 - 2
KAR
6%
14%
80%
|
28 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BZE
2 - 2
BRN
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HFK
2 - 3
BZE
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |