Šternberk vs Nový Jičín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
12º
6º
31
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Šternberk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KOZ
3 - 1
STE
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STE
4 - 2
BAT
71%
16%
14%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
STE
2 - 2
VSE
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
KOZ
0 - 0
STE
65%
18%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
BRN
27%
21%
52%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Nový Jičín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 6
STR
73%
16%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 1
NOV
55%
20%
24%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TJR
3 - 1
NOV
9%
13%
78%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | -3 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
FPR
2 - 4
NOV
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOV
0 - 4
MFK
23%
23%
55%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |