Šternberk vs Kostelec na Hané analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
5º
12º
6º
33
1º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Šternberk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VSE
2 - 0
STE
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
JIS
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BZE
4 - 0
STE
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
NOV
71%
16%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
KOZ
3 - 1
STE
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kostelec na Hané
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KNH
0 - 3
STR
13%
17%
71%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HOL
5 - 1
KNH
88%
9%
4%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KNH
3 - 4
TJT
10%
14%
76%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KNH
0 - 2
HFK
24%
20%
57%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VSE
1 - 0
KNH
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |