Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-3
FK Spartak Subotica vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Spartak Subotica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
FKS
2 - 0
DIF
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
DIF
3 - 3
FKS
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FKS
0 - 1
CRV
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SME
2 - 0
FKS
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
FKS
0 - 0
MET
62%
24%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
1 - 5
DNI
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
DNI
2 - 0
VOL
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
DNI
1 - 0
KPT
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VOR
1 - 1
DNI
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
DNI
4 - 1
ILL
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |