Spartak Varna II vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.7%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+186%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
6º
0
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FCF
2 - 0
FSV
18%
19%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LUD
5 - 2
FSV
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 1
FKR
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BIS
0 - 1
FSV
8%
14%
77%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FSV
6 - 1
LOR
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CHE
8 - 0
SHU
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SHU
3 - 2
BOT
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 1
SHU
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHU
0 - 0
DOR
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UST
4 - 1
SHU
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |