FK Tuzla City vs Zvijezda 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
11º
11º
22
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
POS
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 1
SLO
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 2
SLO
62%
20%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
SLO
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
DEC
1 - 2
SLO
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ZBE
1 - 0
SAR
11%
21%
68%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
POS
2 - 0
ZBE
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 0
ZBE
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ZBE
0 - 1
RSM
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
ZEL
3 - 1
ZBE
70%
17%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |