FK Tuzla City vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
11º
11º
53
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 0
SLO
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
GOS
1 - 4
SLO
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ZBE
3 - 1
SLO
21%
21%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 4
SIR
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
GOS
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
POS
69%
20%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 2
SLO
74%
17%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
FTK
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 2
SAR
32%
24%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
DOM
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |