FK Tuzla City vs FK Gornji Rahic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
15º
7º
31
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 51 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 51 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 49 |
5º
|
63.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 48 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 48 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 43 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 37 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 13 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 3
SLO
10%
20%
71%
|
65 | 34 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 0
RAD
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ZVI
0 - 1
SLO
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 0
TRA
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JED
2 - 0
SLO
14%
22%
64%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
FK Gornji Rahic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 2
TMS
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
GOR
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
GOR
22%
23%
56%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
SLO
9%
14%
77%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 0
RAD
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |