Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
7º
4º
25
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 58 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
48.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 52 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 46 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 42 |
5º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 39 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 24 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 18 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
1% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
25% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 94% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BAN
1 - 2
FAS
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 3
KZA
37%
27%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
HLI
1 - 0
FAS
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
FAS
2 - 2
DAI
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 3
FAS
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ZAL
0 - 0
KZA
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
DAI
0 - 1
ZAL
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ZAL
1 - 1
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
TRA
3 - 3
ZAL
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ZAL
2 - 1
DTE
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |