Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
4º
3º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
DAI
1 - 2
FAS
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 2
SUD
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KZA
3 - 2
FAS
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 3
HLI
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
ZAL
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 2
PAN
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 2
GAL
24%
24%
52%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
ZAL
23%
23%
55%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |