Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
4º
3º
75
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 1
FAS
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 2
FSM
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 0
SUD
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
FAS
3 - 1
HLI
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
0 - 0
FAS
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ZAL
4 - 0
SUD
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
TRA
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
KZA
1 - 1
ZAL
33%
26%
42%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
1 - 0
BAN
78%
15%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 3
DTE
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |