Siauliai vs Banga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
6º
43
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SUD
0 - 0
FAS
22%
26%
51%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
FAS
23%
22%
56%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
FAS
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
GRO
0 - 2
FAS
40%
22%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 2
FAS
16%
20%
65%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Banga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
KZA
13%
22%
65%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BAB
0 - 3
BAN
40%
24%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 2
BAN
48%
22%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
KZA
1 - 3
BAN
74%
16%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2024 |
LIE
8 - 0
BAN
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |