Shodmon Gissar vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shodmon Gissar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
CSK
1 - 0
FKS
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
XAY
8 - 0
FKS
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FKS
2 - 0
VAK
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
FKS
0 - 1
RAV
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
FKS
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GUD
1 - 1
PAR
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
GUD
2 - 4
KHU
41%
24%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
IST
9 - 1
GUD
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 0
GUD
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
XAY
6 - 1
GUD
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |