Shodmon Gissar vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shodmon Gissar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
CSK
0 - 1
FKS
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
XAY
1 - 1
FKS
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
FKS
0 - 1
RAV
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FKS
0 - 3
VAK
50%
23%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 3
FKS
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
GUD
2 - 3
PAR
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
GUD
0 - 0
KHU
29%
24%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 2
GUD
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
XAY
3 - 0
GUD
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
GUD
0 - 0
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |