Saturn II vs Lyubertsy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
14º
14º
29
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 44 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 43 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
6º
|
56.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
97.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 32 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
92% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saturn II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BVN
3 - 0
SAT
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAT
0 - 4
FPT
5%
10%
84%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FKD
6 - 2
SAT
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SAT
1 - 5
FKS
50%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SAT
0 - 4
FMK
12%
15%
73%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lyubertsy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FKL
3 - 3
FPT
34%
21%
45%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
2 - 2
FKL
20%
19%
60%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
FKL
0 - 2
FKD
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FKY
3 - 1
FKL
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FMK
4 - 3
FKL
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |