Riltzi vs Ustrem Donchevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
11º
8º
25
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 62 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 57 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
97% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
60% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 17 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 17 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 14 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 4 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 1
FKR
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FKR
1 - 0
DOR
66%
17%
17%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKR
2 - 5
BIS
75%
14%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
FKR
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FKR
2 - 1
FSV
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ustrem Donchevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
UST
1 - 2
BIS
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
UST
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UST
2 - 2
FSV
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CMV
2 - 2
UST
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 3
UST
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |