Riltzi vs Spartak Varna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
57.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
10º
7º
41
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
FKR
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 0
SHU
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
FKR
38%
23%
38%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
2 - 2
DOR
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FKR
0 - 4
FSV
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Spartak Varna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FSV
3 - 2
SGT
78%
14%
9%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 1
FSV
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FSV
1 - 0
SHU
64%
19%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
CHE
6 - 0
FSV
69%
17%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FKR
0 - 4
FSV
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |