Riltzi vs Volov Shumen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+186%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
10º
7º
22
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 2
FKR
38%
23%
38%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKR
2 - 2
DOR
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FKR
0 - 4
FSV
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
CHE
6 - 0
FKR
87%
10%
3%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 1
SHU
28%
21%
51%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Volov Shumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SHU
4 - 0
SGT
65%
18%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
FSV
1 - 0
SHU
64%
19%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SHU
2 - 4
UST
44%
21%
35%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FKR
1 - 1
SHU
28%
21%
51%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SHU
2 - 1
FSV
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |