Riltzi vs Chernolomets 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
65.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
3º
10º
7º
52
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
88.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
88.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
66.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
81% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 12 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riltzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHU
1 - 3
FKR
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FKR
4 - 0
BOT
65%
17%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
FKR
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 1
FKR
59%
20%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FKR
4 - 1
UST
36%
21%
44%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chernolomets 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CHE
6 - 1
SGT
89%
8%
4%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 3
CHE
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SHU
1 - 2
CHE
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
BOT
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 3
CHE
34%
22%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |