FK Rača vs Spartak Myjava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
11º
3º
44
2º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 40 |
11º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
94.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
94.5% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Rača
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SER
4 - 0
RAC
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
BLV
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
NEU
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
5 - 1
RAC
81%
13%
7%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 1
RAC
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Myjava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SMY
0 - 3
FCM
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SFK
1 - 5
SMY
3%
8%
88%
|
63 | 9 | 54 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OKC
1 - 3
SMY
17%
22%
62%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
FKP
1 - 2
SMY
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SMY
1 - 1
SAM
53%
23%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |