Qaradağ Lökbatan vs Neftçi II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
13º
9º
59
1º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qaradağ Lökbatan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SFK
3 - 0
FKQ
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ENE
0 - 2
FKQ
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
3 - 0
MOI
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
FKQ
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
SFK
5 - 0
FKQ
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 1
ENE
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 2
MOI
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 1
NEF
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
NEF
1 - 0
FKQ
59%
22%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
4 - 1
NEF
27%
26%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -2 |