Gabala FK vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
31
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 2
FKN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FKQ
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 2
SFK
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 3
FKQ
8%
20%
72%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKQ
3 - 1
SHA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SUM
1 - 1
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 0
TUR
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SUM
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
QAR
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |