Gabala FK vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
25
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
FKQ
13%
22%
65%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
FKQ
2 - 1
FHV
31%
25%
45%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
FHV
4 - 1
FKQ
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
GFK
2 - 1
FKQ
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SFK
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKN
26%
28%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SHA
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKQ
27%
26%
46%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 0
SHA
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 0
SEB
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |