Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-2
Gabala FK vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 0
FKQ
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
DZG
2 - 0
FKQ
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 0
FKQ
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
FKQ
0 - 1
QAR
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SUM
0 - 2
FKQ
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
PRO
4 - 2
RAC
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
USH
1 - 6
PRO
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 5
PRO
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
FCR
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
LXC
1 - 2
PRO
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |